Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest
Tomorrow: Wednesday October 16, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)
The forecast contest for Wed will be to forecast precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and movement of the low pressure system moving out of the Texas Panhandle regional. Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Wed.
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| Forecaster | Precip24, inches | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 1.44 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 1.08 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 0.72 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 0.78 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 0.42 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 0.9 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 0.42 |
Today: Tuesday October 15, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)
The forecast contest for Tue will be to forecast precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and movement of the low pressure system moving out of the Texas Panhandle regional. Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Thu.
| Forecaster | Precip24, inches (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBSERVED | 0 | Data through 1300 UTC | |
| PERSISTENCE | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 0 (0) | 2 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 0 (0) | 2 |
Most Recent Completed Forecast of the Day: Thursday October 10, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr minimum temperature (deg F) for Rome, NY (KRME)
The forecast contest for Thu will be to forecast the min temp for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the amount of radiational cooling for the overnight hours timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Thu.
| Forecaster | Tmin, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBSERVED | 40 | Tmin FINAL. | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 40 (0) | 3.1 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 40 (0) | 3.1 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 41 (1) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 41 (1) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 39 (-1) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 41 (1) | 2.7 | |
| PERSISTENCE | 38 (-2) | 2.3 | |
| 1. glennvk | 42 (2) | 2.3 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 38 (-2) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 42 (2) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 42 (2) | 2.3 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 38 (-2) | 2.3 | |
| 2. sandivk | 43 (3) | 1.9 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 37 (-3) | 1.9 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 44 (4) | 1.4 | |
| 3. cherylb14 | 45 (5) | 1.0 | |
| 4. charlotteb14 | 49 (9) | 0 | |
| 4. calebb14 | 32 (-8) | 0 |
Earlier Contest Days
- Wednesday October 9, 2019: Rome, NY (KRME)-The forecast contest for Wed will be to . .
- Tuesday October 1, 2019: Rome, NY (KRME)-The forecast contest for Tue will be to . .
- Wednesday September 25, 2019: Chicago-Midway, IL (KMDW)-The forecast contest for Wed will be to . .
- Tuesday September 24, 2019: Chicago-Midway, IL (KMDW)-The forecast contest for Tues will be to . .
- Wednesday September 18, 2019: Grand Junction , CO (KGJT)-The forecast contest for Wed will be to . .
- Tuesday September 17, 2019: Grand Junction , CO (KGJT)-The forecast contest for Tues will be to . .
- Saturday September 14, 2019: Syracuse, NY (KSYR)-The forecast contest for Friday will be . .
- Friday September 13, 2019: Columbus-John Glenn, OH (KCMH)-The forecast contest for Friday will be . .
- Tuesday September 10, 2019: Grand Forks-International, ND (KGFK)-Tonight's forecast for Grand Forks, Nort . .
. . .
List of all contest days