Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest
Tomorrow: Thursday July 18, 2019
There is not a Forecast of the Day contest for tomorrow.
Today: Wednesday July 17, 2019
There is not a Forecast of the Day contest for today.
Most Recent Completed Forecast of the Day: Thursday April 25, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Phoenix-Sky Harbor, AZ (KPHX)
The Desert Southwest is heating up. High temperature forecasts for Thursday are very close to 100 F for Phoenix. All of the forecasts so far are 98 or 99. Let's forecast Tmax and see if they get their first 100 F of the year.
| Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBSERVED | 99 | Tmax FINAL. | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 99 (0) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 98 (-1) | 2.3 | |
| PERSISTENCE | 94 (-5) | 0.9 | |
| CLIMATE | 88.1 (-10.9) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 0 |
Earlier Contest Days
- Friday April 19, 2019: Lancaster, OH (KLHQ)-The two major U.S. models agree that tem . .
- Thursday April 18, 2019: Morgantown, WV (KMGW)-Will it really reach 87 F on Thursday in . .
- Wednesday April 17, 2019: Huron, SD (KHON)-The flood situation in the upper Midwest . .
- Friday April 12, 2019: Minneapolis-St Paul, MN (KMSP)-The Minnesota Twins have a home game sch . .
- Thursday April 11, 2019: Omaha, NE (KOMA)-With the intense low pressure system pas . .
- Wednesday April 10, 2019: Laramie, WY (KLAR)-When I lived in Laramie, Wyoming, I lear . .
- Thursday April 4, 2019: Natchez, MS (KHEZ)-Thursday brings the chance of heavy prec . .
- Wednesday April 3, 2019: Hyannis, MA (KHYA)-With some uncertainty about how close a . .
- Friday March 29, 2019: Denver-International, CO (KDEN)-With uncertainty about the position of a . .
. . .
List of all contest days