Forecast Central

Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

Tomorrow: Wednesday October 16, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Wed will be to forecast precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and movement of the low pressure system moving out of the Texas Panhandle regional. Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Wed.

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Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Precip24, inches Comment
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 1.44
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 1.08
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 0.72
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 0.78
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 0.42
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 0.9
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 0.42

Today: Tuesday October 15, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Tue will be to forecast precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and movement of the low pressure system moving out of the Texas Panhandle regional. Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Thu.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Precip24, inches (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 0 Data through 1300 UTC
PERSISTENCE 0 (0) 2
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 0 (0) 2
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 0 (0) 2
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 0 (0) 2
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 0 (0) 2
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 0 (0) 2
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 0 (0) 2
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 0 (0) 2
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 0 (0) 2
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 0 (0) 2
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 0 (0) 2
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 0 (0) 2
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 0 (0) 2

Most Recent Completed Forecast of the Day: Thursday October 10, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr minimum temperature (deg F) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Thu will be to forecast the min temp for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the amount of radiational cooling for the overnight hours timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Thu.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Tmin, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 40 Tmin FINAL.
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 40 (0) 3.1
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 40 (0) 3.1
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 41 (1) 2.7
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 41 (1) 2.7
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 39 (-1) 2.7
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 41 (1) 2.7
PERSISTENCE 38 (-2) 2.3
1. glennvk 42 (2) 2.3
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 38 (-2) 2.3
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 42 (2) 2.3
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 42 (2) 2.3
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 38 (-2) 2.3
2. sandivk 43 (3) 1.9
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 37 (-3) 1.9
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 44 (4) 1.4
3. cherylb14 45 (5) 1.0
4. charlotteb14 49 (9) 0
4. calebb14 32 (-8) 0

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