Forecast Central

Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

Tomorrow: Wednesday July 17, 2019

There is not a Forecast of the Day contest for tomorrow.


Today: Tuesday July 16, 2019

There is not a Forecast of the Day contest for today.


Most Recent Completed Forecast of the Day: Thursday April 25, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Phoenix-Sky Harbor, AZ (KPHX)

The Desert Southwest is heating up. High temperature forecasts for Thursday are very close to 100 F for Phoenix. All of the forecasts so far are 98 or 99. Let's forecast Tmax and see if they get their first 100 F of the year.

Forecasts for Phoenix-Sky Harbor, AZ (KPHX)
Forecaster Tmax, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 99 Tmax FINAL.
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 99 (0) 2.7
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 98 (-1) 2.3
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 98 (-1) 2.3
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 98 (-1) 2.3
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 98 (-1) 2.3
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 98 (-1) 2.3
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 98 (-1) 2.3
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 98 (-1) 2.3
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 98 (-1) 2.3
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 98 (-1) 2.3
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 98 (-1) 2.3
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 98 (-1) 2.3
PERSISTENCE 94 (-5) 0.9
CLIMATE 88.1 (-10.9) NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 0

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