Forecast Central

Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

Tomorrow: Thursday October 24, 2019

There is not a Forecast of the Day contest for tomorrow.


Today: Wednesday October 23, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Wed will be to forecast precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and movement of the low pressure and frontal system moving through the region. Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Wed.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Precip24, inches (error) Comment Day Score
cherylb14 0.2 (0) 0
calebb14 0.3 (0) 0
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 0 ( )
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 0.06 ( )
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 0 ( )
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 0.06 ( )
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 0.06 ( )
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 0 ( )
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 0.06 ( )
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 0.06 ( )
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 0.06 ( )
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 0.06 ( )

Most Recent Completed Forecast of the Day: Thursday October 17, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Thu will be to forecast precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and movement of the low pressure system moving out of the Texas Panhandle regional. Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Thu.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Precip24, inches (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 0.43 Precip24 FINAL.
1. cherylb14 0.5 (0.07) 3.0
2. glennvk 0.6 (0.17) 2.8
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 0.6 (0.17) 2.8
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 0.66 (0.23) 2.7
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 0.18 (-0.25) 2.6
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 0.18 (-0.25) 2.6
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 0.18 (-0.25) 2.6
3. calebb14 0.8 (0.37) 2.4
PERSISTENCE 0.99 (0.56) 2.0
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 1.02 (0.59) 1.9
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 1.02 (0.59) 1.9
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 1.02 (0.59) 1.9
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 1.02 (0.59) 1.9
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 1.2 (0.77) 1.5
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 1.56 (1.13) 0.7
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 2.46 (2.03) 0

Earlier Contest Days

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List of all contest days