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Friday April 12, 2019

Assignment: Predict the snow depth at the end of the day (inches) for Minneapolis-St Paul, MN (KMSP)

The Minnesota Twins have a home game scheduled at Target Field (open air stadium) for Friday night against the Tigers. But since there are 6 inches of snow already on the ground on Thursday morning, a current Winter Storm Warning and more snow expected Friday, it's difficult to imagine a game being played on Friday. So let's forecast the snow on the ground at the end of the day Friday and see what happens.

Forecasts for Minneapolis-St Paul, MN (KMSP)
Forecaster Snow depth, inches (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 3 Data FINAL.
PERSISTENCE 4 (1) 3.3
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 4 (1) 3.3
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 4.7 (1.7) 2.8
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 5.0 (2.0) 2.7
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 5.3 (2.3) 2.4
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 0.7 (-2.3) 2.4
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 5.4 (2.4) 2.3
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 6.0 (3.0) 2.0
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 6.5 (3.5) 1.6
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 6.7 (3.7) 1.4
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 7.3 (4.3) 1.0
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 7.4 (4.4) 0.9
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 9.1 (6.1) 0