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Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

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Wednesday October 9, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr minimum temperature (deg F) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Wed will be to forecast the min temp for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the amount of radiational cooling for the overnight hours timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Wed.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Tmin, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 38 Tmin FINAL.
Reference
PERSISTENCE 42 (4) 0.7
MOS
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 44 (6) 0
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 42 (4) 0.7
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 40 (2) 1.9
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 40 (2) 1.9
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 36 (-2) 1.9
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 39 (1) 2.5
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 39 (1) 2.5
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 39 (1) 2.5
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 37 (-1) 2.5
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 38 (0) 3.1
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 38 (0) 3.1
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 38 (0) 3.1
Teacher
1. glennvk 37 (-1) 2.5