Forecast Central

Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

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Tuesday October 1, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Tue will be to forecast the precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and strength of a warm front that will move through the area during the Tue-WEd timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Tue.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Precip24, inches (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 1.02 Precip24 FINAL.
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 0.96 (-0.06) 3.7
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 0.78 (-0.24) 3.0
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 0.78 (-0.24) 3.0
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 0.66 (-0.36) 2.6
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 0.6 (-0.42) 2.4
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 0.6 (-0.42) 2.4
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 0.6 (-0.42) 2.4
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 0.6 (-0.42) 2.4
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 0.42 (-0.6) 1.7
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 0.42 (-0.6) 1.7
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 0.42 (-0.6) 1.7
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 0.18 (-0.84) 0.8
1. glennvk 0.05 (-0.97) 0.3
PERSISTENCE 0.02 (-1) 0.2