The forecast contest for Wed will be to forecast the max temp for Chicago (KMDW). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and strength of a cold front that will move through the area during the WEd timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Wed.
Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
---|---|---|---|
OBSERVED | 80 | Tmax FINAL (minor problem). | |
Reference | |||
CLIMATE | 71.6 (-8.4) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 0.6 |
PERSISTENCE | 80 (0) | 4.1 | |
MOS | |||
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 72 (-8) | 0.8 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 73 (-7) | 1.2 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 74 (-6) | 1.6 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 74 (-6) | 1.6 | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 74 (-6) | 1.6 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 74 (-6) | 1.6 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 75 (-5) | 2.0 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 75 (-5) | 2.0 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 76 (-4) | 2.4 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 76 (-4) | 2.4 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 77 (-3) | 2.8 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 79 (-1) | 3.7 | |
HomeschoolScience-GlennVanKnowe-PhysicalScience | |||
1. ianm14 | 78 (-2) | 3.3 | |
2. natep14 | 77 (-3) | 2.8 | |
2. lucasm14 | 77 (-3) | 2.8 | |
2. calebb14 | 77 (-3) | 2.8 | |
5. cherylb14 | 72 (-8) | 0.8 | |
6. charlotteb14 | 71 (-9) | 0.3 | |
Teacher | |||
1. glennvk | 74 (-6) | 1.6 | |
2. sandivk | 73 (-7) | 1.2 |