The forecast contest for Tues will be to forecast the max temp for Chicago (KMDW). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and strength of a cold front that will move through the area during the Tue-WEd timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Tue.
Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
---|---|---|---|
OBSERVED | 80 | Tmax FINAL. | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 80 (0) | 3.3 | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 80 (0) | 3.3 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 79 (-1) | 2.9 | |
1. natep14 | 81 (1) | 2.9 | |
1. glennvk | 79 (-1) | 2.9 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 79 (-1) | 2.9 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 78 (-2) | 2.4 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 78 (-2) | 2.4 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 77 (-3) | 1.9 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 77 (-3) | 1.9 | |
3. lucasm14 | 77 (-3) | 1.9 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 77 (-3) | 1.9 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 77 (-3) | 1.9 | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 76 (-4) | 1.5 | |
PERSISTENCE | 75 (-5) | 1.0 | |
4. ianm14 | 74 (-6) | 0.6 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 74 (-6) | 0.6 | |
CLIMATE | 72 (-8) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 0 |