Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest
Wednesday September 11, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Huron, SD (KHON)
Severe thunderstorms and heavy rain are forecast for parts of the northern Plains, beginning tonight and with another round on Wednesday. Here is the NWS hazardous weather statement. Forecasting an exact precipitation amount is difficult, but let's try to forecast Wednesday's 24-hr precipitation amount for Huron, South Dakota.
| Forecaster | Precip24, inches (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| PERSISTENCE | 0 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 3.36 ( ) | ||
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 3.24 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 3.36 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 3.36 ( ) | ||
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 1.5 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 4.5 ( ) | ||
| CLIMATE | 0.14 ( ) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 3.36 ( ) | ||
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 2.28 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 2.4 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 3.06 ( ) | ||
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 1.86 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 3 ( ) |