Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest
Thursday April 18, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Morgantown, WV (KMGW)
Will it really reach 87 F on Thursday in Morgantown, West Virginia? That's what the GFS MOS says. Let's predict Tmax and see what happens.
| Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBSERVED | 83 | Tmax FINAL. | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 83 (0) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 83 (0) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 84 (1) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 84 (1) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 84 (1) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 82 (-1) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 84 (1) | 2.5 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 85 (2) | 2.2 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 86 (3) | 2.0 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 86 (3) | 2.0 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 86 (3) | 2.0 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 87 (4) | 1.8 | |
| PERSISTENCE | 78 (-5) | 1.6 | |
| CLIMATE | 65.1 (-17.9) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 0 |