With the intense low pressure system passing near Omaha, Nebraska on Thursday, the two main U.S. models differ on whether Omaha will be inside or outside of the sharply-defined warm sector, resulting in a big difference in the maximum temperature forecast. So let's forecast Tmax for Omaha and see what happens.
Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
---|---|---|---|
OBSERVED | 53 | Tmax FINAL. | |
Reference | |||
CLIMATE | 62.2 (9.2) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 1.3 |
PERSISTENCE | 62 (9) | 1.4 | |
MOS | |||
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 66 (13) | 0.0 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 43 (-10) | 1.1 | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 62 (9) | 1.4 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 44 (-9) | 1.4 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 61 (8) | 1.7 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 61 (8) | 1.7 | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 60 (7) | 2.1 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 47 (-6) | 2.4 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 57 (4) | 3.1 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 50 (-3) | 3.4 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 56 (3) | 3.4 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 56 (3) | 3.4 |