There is a range of high temperature forecasts for Eau Claire, Wisconsin on Wednesday. Let's forecast Tmax and see what happens.
Question: What likely causes the difference in these Tmax forecasts by the two major U.S. models?
Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
---|---|---|---|
OBSERVED | 58 | Tmax FINAL. | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 59 (1) | 3.9 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 55 (-3) | 3.2 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 54 (-4) | 2.9 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 54 (-4) | 2.9 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 64 (6) | 2.2 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 64 (6) | 2.2 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 64 (6) | 2.2 | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 65 (7) | 1.8 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 65 (7) | 1.8 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 65 (7) | 1.8 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 66 (8) | 1.5 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 48 (-10) | 0.8 | |
PERSISTENCE | 47 (-11) | 0.4 | |
CLIMATE | 46.7 (-11.3) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 0.3 |