After being in a historic deep freeze for the past few days, the Northern Plains will see rapid warming on Friday. But Friday's maximum temperature forecasts for Fargo, North Dakota have a range of more than 10 deg F, probably because there is a strong temperature gradient at the western edge of the retreating cold air mass, and relatively small differences in timing and position between different models can lead to large differences in temperature. So let's forecast Friday's Tmax for Fargo and see if it gets close to 32 F.
Question: What is a temperature gradient?
Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
---|---|---|---|
OBSERVED | 17 | Tmax FINAL. | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 17 (0) | 3.0 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 18 (1) | 2.8 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 18 (1) | 2.8 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 18 (1) | 2.8 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 20 (3) | 2.4 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 20 (3) | 2.4 | |
CLIMATE | 20 (3) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 2.4 |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 20 (3) | 2.4 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 20 (3) | 2.4 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 24 (7) | 1.5 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 28 (11) | 0.6 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 28 (11) | 0.6 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 32 (15) | 0 |