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Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

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Saturday August 11, 2018

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr minimum temperature (deg F) for Bradford, PA (KBFD)

Sometimes the two main U.S. models disagree on a forecast and the reason is not very obvious. For Saturday's low temperature in Bradford, Pennsylvania, the NAM and GFS are almost 10 F apart, even though the expected precipitation and cloud forecasts don't look very different. Let's forecast the Tmin and see which model comes closest. Bradford is in north-central Pennsylvania, near the New York border. It's the home of the Zippo lighter company.

Question: Do you think that cloud cover or precipitation will usually have a larger impact on the low temperature?

Forecasts for Bradford, PA (KBFD)
Forecaster Tmin, deg F (error) Comment Day Score