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Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

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Saturday January 20, 2018

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Medicine Lodge, KS (KP28)

Forecasts for Saturday's Tmax show a strong gradient across Kansas, with temperatures near 70 F on the western edge and in the 50's on the eastern edge. But the NAM MOS has max temperatures in the 40's for some locations, about 20 F less than the corresponding GFS MOS forecasts, probably because of different cloud cover forecasts. Let's predict Tmax for Medicine Lodge (south central Kansas) and see what happens.

Forecasts for Medicine Lodge, KS (KP28)
Forecaster Tmax, deg F (error) Comment Day Score