Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest
Saturday April 11, 2020
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Tucson-International, AZ (KTUS)
The average high temperature for Tucson, Arizona is a toasty 80 F, but Saturday's predicted highs are only in the 60's, with a chance of rain and thunderstorms. Let's predict Tmax for Tucson and see whether it really stays below 70 F.
| Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reference | |||
| CLIMATE | 80.8 ( ) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | |
| PERSISTENCE | 79 ( ) | ||
| MOS | |||
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 62 ( ) | ||
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 69 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 62 ( ) | ||
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 65 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 62 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 63 ( ) | ||
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 65 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 65 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 64 ( ) | ||
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 64 ( ) | ||
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 65 ( ) | ||