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Saturday April 11, 2020

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Tucson-International, AZ (KTUS)

The average high temperature for Tucson, Arizona is a toasty 80 F, but Saturday's predicted highs are only in the 60's, with a chance of rain and thunderstorms. Let's predict Tmax for Tucson and see whether it really stays below 70 F.

Forecasts for Tucson-International, AZ (KTUS)
Forecaster Tmax, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
Reference
CLIMATE 80.8 ( ) NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010
PERSISTENCE 79 ( )
MOS
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 62 ( )
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 69 ( )
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 62 ( )
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 65 ( )
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 62 ( )
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 63 ( )
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 65 ( )
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 65 ( )
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 64 ( )
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 64 ( )
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 65 ( )