Forecast Central

Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

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Thursday October 17, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Thu will be to forecast precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and movement of the low pressure system moving out of the Texas Panhandle regional. Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Thu.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Precip24, inches (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 0.43 Precip24 FINAL.
Reference
PERSISTENCE 0.99 (0.56) 2.0
MOS
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 2.46 (2.03) 0
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 1.56 (1.13) 0.7
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 1.2 (0.77) 1.5
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 1.02 (0.59) 1.9
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 1.02 (0.59) 1.9
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 1.02 (0.59) 1.9
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 1.02 (0.59) 1.9
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 0.18 (-0.25) 2.6
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 0.18 (-0.25) 2.6
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 0.18 (-0.25) 2.6
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 0.66 (0.23) 2.7
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 0.6 (0.17) 2.8
HomeschoolScience-GlennVanKnowe-PhysicalScience
1. cherylb14 0.5 (0.07) 3.0
2. calebb14 0.8 (0.37) 2.4
Teacher
1. glennvk 0.6 (0.17) 2.8