Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest
Thursday October 10, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr minimum temperature (deg F) for Rome, NY (KRME)
The forecast contest for Thu will be to forecast the min temp for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the amount of radiational cooling for the overnight hours timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Thu.
| Forecaster | Tmin, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBSERVED | 40 | Tmin FINAL. | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 40 (0) | 3.1 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 40 (0) | 3.1 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 41 (1) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 41 (1) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 39 (-1) | 2.7 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 41 (1) | 2.7 | |
| PERSISTENCE | 38 (-2) | 2.3 | |
| 1. glennvk | 42 (2) | 2.3 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 38 (-2) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 42 (2) | 2.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 42 (2) | 2.3 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 38 (-2) | 2.3 | |
| 2. sandivk | 43 (3) | 1.9 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 37 (-3) | 1.9 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 44 (4) | 1.4 | |
| 3. cherylb14 | 45 (5) | 1.0 | |
| 4. charlotteb14 | 49 (9) | 0 | |
| 4. calebb14 | 32 (-8) | 0 |