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Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

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Wednesday October 2, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Rome, NY (KRME)

The forecast contest for Wed will be to forecast the the precip amount for Rome NY (KRME). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and strength of a cold front that will move through the area during the Wed timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Wed.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Precip24, inches (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 0.01 Data through 0600 UTC
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 0.24 (0.23) 2.7
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 0.24 (0.23) 2.7
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 0.24 (0.23) 2.7
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 0.24 (0.23) 2.7
1. calebb14 0.3 (0.29) 2.6
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 0.36 (0.35) 2.5
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 0.42 (0.41) 2.5
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 0.42 (0.41) 2.5
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 0.54 (0.53) 2.3
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 0.54 (0.53) 2.3
2. cherylb14 0.75 (0.74) 2.0
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 0.78 (0.77) 1.9
PERSISTENCE 1.02 (1.01) 1.6
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 1.08 (1.07) 1.5
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 1.68 (1.67) 0.7
3. glennvk 3 (2.99) 0