Forecast Central

Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest

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Tuesday September 24, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Chicago-Midway, IL (KMDW)

The forecast contest for Tues will be to forecast the max temp for Chicago (KMDW). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and strength of a cold front that will move through the area during the Tue-WEd timeframe Go to Link to see NWS’s expected frontal position for 8 AM EDT on Tue.

Forecasts for Chicago-Midway, IL (KMDW)
Forecaster Tmax, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 80 Tmax FINAL.
Reference
CLIMATE 72 (-8) NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 0
PERSISTENCE 75 (-5) 1.0
MOS
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 74 (-6) 0.6
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 76 (-4) 1.5
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 77 (-3) 1.9
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 77 (-3) 1.9
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 77 (-3) 1.9
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 77 (-3) 1.9
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 78 (-2) 2.4
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 78 (-2) 2.4
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 79 (-1) 2.9
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 79 (-1) 2.9
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 80 (0) 3.3
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 80 (0) 3.3
HomeschoolScience-GlennVanKnowe-PhysicalScience
1. natep14 81 (1) 2.9
2. lucasm14 77 (-3) 1.9
3. ianm14 74 (-6) 0.6
Teacher
1. glennvk 79 (-1) 2.9