The forecast contest for Tues will be to forecast the precip for Grand Junction CO (KGJT). The main challenge for the forecaster will be the timing and strength of a trough of low pressure that will move through the area. Go to Link to see NWS’s expected weather map for 8 AM EDT on Tuesday. The models are indicating generally light precipitation, e[especially in the afternoon. But the nature of this precip will be showery which models have a hard time to resolve. This gives the forecast a challenge when forecasting for the exact amount of precipitation for one location.
|Forecaster||Precip24, inches (error)||Comment||Day Score|
|OBSERVED||0.01||Data through 0600 UTC|
|1. glennvk||0.1 (0.09)||Using Sat imagery, it looks like the trough will be fairly strong and pass through the region mid afternoon allowing for max heating and I believe a good chance for showers at KGJT. But it is a high uncertainty forecasts.||0.7|
|CLIMATE||0.11 (0.1)||NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010||0.4|