Lots of rain is expected as a surface low moves through the northern Plains on Thursday. The latest GFS run has the low tracking from South Dakota into North Dakota, bringing some warmer air into places like Fargo, North Dakota. But the NAM has the low further east, moving through Minnesota instead, leading to more northerly flow and cooler daytime temperatures in Fargo. So let's forecast Tmax for Fargo and see what happens.
Forecaster | Tmax, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
---|---|---|---|
PERSISTENCE | 66 ( ) | ||
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 65 ( ) | ||
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 59 ( ) | ||
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 61 ( ) | ||
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 63 ( ) | ||
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 54 ( ) | ||
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 64 ( ) | ||
CLIMATE | 72.5 ( ) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 67 ( ) | ||
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 52 ( ) | ||
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 64 ( ) | ||
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 63 ( ) | ||
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 58 ( ) | ||
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 70 ( ) |