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Tuesday September 10, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr minimum temperature (deg F) for Grand Forks-International, ND (KGFK)

Tonight's forecast for Grand Forks, North Dakota is rainy, and the GFS and NAM differ by about 10 F on the minimum temperature. So let's forecast Tmin for Grand Forks and see what happens.

Forecasts for Grand Forks-International, ND (KGFK)
Forecaster Tmin, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 53 Data through 0500 UTC
Reference
CLIMATE 46.6 (-6.4) NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 0.8
PERSISTENCE 49 (-4) 1.8
MOS
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 44 (-9) 0
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 47 (-6) 0.9
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 49 (-4) 1.8
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 49 (-4) 1.8
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 49 (-4) 1.8
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 56 (3) 2.2
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 51 (-2) 2.6
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 55 (2) 2.6
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 51 (-2) 2.6
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 52 (-1) 3.0
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 52 (-1) 3.0
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 53 (0) 3.5