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Thursday September 5, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for North Myrtle Beach, SC (KCRE)

Let's continue moving north with Hurricane Dorian, and predict Thursday's 24-hr precipitation amount for North Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

Forecasts for North Myrtle Beach, SC (KCRE)
Forecaster Precip24, inches (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 10.34 Data through 0600 UTC
Reference
PERSISTENCE 0.38 (-9.96) 0
MOS
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 4.56 (-5.78) 1.5
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 4.86 (-5.48) 1.7
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 5.22 (-5.12) 2.0
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 5.22 (-5.12) 2.0
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 6 (-4.34) 2.5
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 6 (-4.34) 2.5
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 6 (-4.34) 2.5
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 6 (-4.34) 2.5
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 6 (-4.34) 2.5
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 6 (-4.34) 2.5
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 6 (-4.34) 2.5
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 6 (-4.34) 2.5