Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest
Thursday September 5, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for North Myrtle Beach, SC (KCRE)
Let's continue moving north with Hurricane Dorian, and predict Thursday's 24-hr precipitation amount for North Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.
| Forecaster | Precip24, inches (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBSERVED | 10.34 | Data through 0600 UTC | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 6 (-4.34) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 6 (-4.34) | 2.5 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 6 (-4.34) | 2.5 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 6 (-4.34) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 6 (-4.34) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 6 (-4.34) | 2.5 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 6 (-4.34) | 2.5 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 6 (-4.34) | 2.5 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 5.22 (-5.12) | 2.0 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 5.22 (-5.12) | 2.0 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 4.86 (-5.48) | 1.7 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 4.56 (-5.78) | 1.5 | |
| PERSISTENCE | 0.38 (-9.96) | 0 |