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Friday April 26, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr minimum temperature (deg F) for Binghamton, NY (KBGM)

As a strong surface low moves through the Northeast on Friday, Binghamton, New York could get an inch or more of rain. The low temperature will probably come at the end of the contest day (0600 UTC, or 2 am EDT), in the cooler air after the frontal passage. Let's predict Tmin for Binghamton and see how low it reaches by that time.

Forecasts for Binghamton, NY (KBGM)
Forecaster Tmin, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
Reference
CLIMATE 39.8 ( ) NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010
PERSISTENCE 34 ( )
MOS
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 45 ( )
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 42 ( )
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 48 ( )
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 51 ( )
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 41 ( )
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 50 ( )
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 50 ( )
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 41 ( )
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 49 ( )
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 45 ( )
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 43 ( )
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 46 ( )