Forecast of the Day • A National Weather Forecasting Contest
Wednesday April 17, 2019
Assignment: Predict the 24 hr precipitation amount (inches) for Huron, SD (KHON)
The flood situation in the upper Midwest is still very serious in some areas of the upper Midwest. Eastern South Dakota is one of those areas, with river flooding ongoing. With that in mind, let's forecast the 24-hr precipitation amount for Huron, South Dakota (home of the World's Largest Pheasant sculpture).
| Forecaster | Precip24, inches (error) | Comment | Day Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBSERVED | 0.09 | Precip24 FINAL. | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 0.12 (0.03) | 3.2 | |
| CLIMATE | 0.13 (0.04) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 3.1 |
| PERSISTENCE | 0 (-0.09) | 2.9 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 0.24 (0.15) | 2.5 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 0.24 (0.15) | 2.5 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 0.24 (0.15) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 0.24 (0.15) | 2.5 | |
| NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 0.3 (0.21) | 2.2 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 0.36 (0.27) | 1.9 | |
| GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 0.36 (0.27) | 1.9 | |
| GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 0.48 (0.39) | 1.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 0.48 (0.39) | 1.3 | |
| GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 0.6 (0.51) | 0.7 | |
| NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 0.84 (0.75) | 0 |