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Friday March 29, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Denver-International, CO (KDEN)

With uncertainty about the position of a weak low pressure system passing through on Friday, the high temperature forecast for Denver, Colorado is not very well-defined. Let's forecast Tmax for Denver and see what happens.

Forecasts for Denver-International, CO (KDEN)
Forecaster Tmax, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 42 Tmax COMPLETE.
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 46 (4) 3.3
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 46 (4) 3.3
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 47 (5) 3.1
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 48 (6) 2.9
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 49 (7) 2.7
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 50 (8) 2.5
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 52 (10) 2.1
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 53 (11) 1.9
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 53 (11) 1.9
CLIMATE 56.6 (14.6) NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 1.2
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 57 (15) 1.1
PERSISTENCE 60 (18) 0.6
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 60 (18) 0.6
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 60 (18) 0.6