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Friday March 15, 2019

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Rome, NY (KRME)

Since Friday will be the Ides of March, let's forecast the maximum temperature at Rome, New York. With rain expected, the forecasts range from the low 50's to the low 60's.

Forecasts for Rome, NY (KRME)
Forecaster Tmax, deg F (error) Comment Day Score
OBSERVED 57 Tmax FINAL (minor problem).
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 55 (-2) 2.9
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 59 (2) 2.9
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 59 (2) 2.9
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 59 (2) 2.9
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 60 (3) 2.4
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 60 (3) 2.4
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 53 (-4) 1.8
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 61 (4) 1.8
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 52 (-5) 1.2
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 52 (-5) 1.2
PERSISTENCE 49 (-8) 0