In Florida, a National Weather Service discussion mentions the possibility of near freezing temperatures for the "Nature Coast." I found out that the Nature Coast refers to the counties along the Gulf Coast from the Panhandle down to north of Tampa Bay. So let's forecast Friday's minimum temperature for a Nature Coast location, Cross City, Florida, and see if it makes it all the way down to 32 F.
Question: In another NWS discussion, it says "Frost is possible Friday morning inland from the coast where winds become sufficiently light." Why is frost more likely with lighter winds? And why would you expect lighter winds further inland?
Forecaster | Tmin, deg F (error) | Comment | Day Score |
---|---|---|---|
OBSERVED | 30 | Tmin FINAL (minor problem). | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY01 | 29 (-1) | 2.7 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY02 | 31 (1) | 2.7 | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY02 | 31 (1) | 2.7 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY02 | 29 (-1) | 2.7 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY02 | 31 (1) | 2.7 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY00 | 32 (2) | 2.2 | |
NAM-MOS-00-DAY00 | 32 (2) | 2.2 | |
GFS-MOS-18-DAY01 | 32 (2) | 2.2 | |
NAM-MOS-12-DAY01 | 32 (2) | 2.2 | |
GFS-MOS-00-DAY01 | 32 (2) | 2.2 | |
PERSISTENCE | 33 (3) | 1.8 | |
GFS-MOS-12-DAY01 | 33 (3) | 1.8 | |
GFS-MOS-06-DAY01 | 34 (4) | 1.3 | |
CLIMATE | 39.8 (9.8) | NCDC Climate Normals, 1981-2010 | 0 |