Sometimes the two main U.S. models disagree on a forecast and the reason is not very obvious. For Saturday's low temperature in Bradford, Pennsylvania, the NAM and GFS are almost 10 F apart, even though the expected precipitation and cloud forecasts don't look very different. Let's forecast the Tmin and see which model comes closest. Bradford is in north-central Pennsylvania, near the New York border. It's the home of the Zippo lighter company.
Question: Do you think that cloud cover or precipitation will usually have a larger impact on the low temperature?
|Tmin, deg F (error)