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Friday March 23, 2018

Assignment: Predict the 24 hr maximum temperature (deg F) for Gage, OK (KGAG)

Forecasts for Friday's high temperature in Gage, Oklahoma reach as high as 95 F, almost 30 F higher than average. The NWS has issued a fire weather watch for the area because of the combination of high temperatures, low humidities and high wind. Check out this forecast map of dew point temperature to see how much drier it is in the Oklahoma panhandle than in central and eastern Oklahoma. Let's predict the Tmax for Gage and see it it really hits 95.

Question: It looks as if they haven't had any precipitation at all in March so far in the area. How could dry soil conditions affect the possibility of very high temperatures?

Forecasts for Gage, OK (KGAG)
Forecaster Tmax, deg F (error) Comment Day Score